Former governor nominee Kari Lake Halperin (R) leads U.S. Representative Ruben Gallego (D) by 1, moving Arizona from lean democrat to tossup.
Incumbent Senator Rafael Edward (Ted) Cruz (R) leads both U.S. Representative Colin Allred (D) and State Senator Roland Gutierrez (D) by 16, moving Texas from lean to likely republican.
Probable Outcome: 50-54 Republican Senators.
Median Outcome: 52 Republican (gain of 3), 46 Democrat (loss of 2), 2 Independent (loss of 1)
Incumbent Senator Rafael Edward (Ted) Cruz (R) leads both U.S. Representative Colin Allred (D) and State Senator Roland Gutierrez (D) by 16, moving Texas from lean to likely republican.
Probable Outcome: 50-54 Republican Senators.
Median Outcome: 52 Republican (gain of 3), 46 Democrat (loss of 2), 2 Independent (loss of 1)