U.S. representative Ruben Gallego (D) leads former nominee for governor Kari Lake Halperin (R) by 4, moving Arizona from lean republican to lean democrat.
Incumbent Senator Tammy Baldwin (D) is now tied tied with 2012 Senate candidate Eric Hovde, moving Wisconsin from lean democrat to tossup.
Former Governor Lawrence Hogan (R) leads the 2 most likely democrat nominees by 13-18 (and is over 50%), moving Maryland from tossup to lean republican.
CEO Tim Sheehy (R) leads Incumbent Senator Raymond Jon Tester (D) by 3, moving Montana from tossup to lean republican.
Probable Outcome 52-56 Republican Senators.
Mean Outcome 54 Republican (gain of 5), 44 Democrat (loss of 4), 2 Independent (loss of 1)
Incumbent Senator Tammy Baldwin (D) is now tied tied with 2012 Senate candidate Eric Hovde, moving Wisconsin from lean democrat to tossup.
Former Governor Lawrence Hogan (R) leads the 2 most likely democrat nominees by 13-18 (and is over 50%), moving Maryland from tossup to lean republican.
CEO Tim Sheehy (R) leads Incumbent Senator Raymond Jon Tester (D) by 3, moving Montana from tossup to lean republican.
Probable Outcome 52-56 Republican Senators.
Mean Outcome 54 Republican (gain of 5), 44 Democrat (loss of 4), 2 Independent (loss of 1)