Dr. Mike correctly forecast 28/30 governor races with 6 races left as tossups. Democrats won all 6 tossups: Kansas, Michigan, Minnesota, New Mexico, New York, and Wisconsin as well as 2 of the lean republican races: Oregon and Arizona. Democrats picked up Maryland, Massachusetts, and Arizona, while Republicans picked up Nevada for a net Democrat gain of 2 governors.
Former news anchor Kari Lake (R) leads Secretary of State Kathleen Hobbs (D) by 3, moving Arizona from solid to lean republican.
Incumbent Governor Laura Kelly (D) leads Attorney General Derek Schmidt (R) by 3 (with 4% undecided), moving Kansas from lean republican to tossup. Incumbent Governor Jared Polis (D) is now leading University of Colorado Regent Heidi Ganahl (R) by 7 (with 3% undecided), moving Colorado from lean to likely democrat. Probable Outcome 28-34 Republican. Mean Outcome 31 Republican (gain of 3), 19 Democrat (loss of 3). |
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November 2022
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