U.S. representative Ruben Gallego (D) leads former governor nominee Kari Lake (R) by 5, moving Arizona from tossup to lean democrat.
US representative Elissa Slotkin (D) leads former Detroit Police Chief James Craig (R) by 2, moving Michigan from lean democat to tossup.
Weak Democrat field in West Virginia moves the state from likely to solid republican.
Probable Outcome: 50-53 Republican Senators.
Median Outcome: 51.5 Republican (gain of 2.5), 46.5 Democrat (loss of 1.5), 2 Independent (loss of 1)
US representative Elissa Slotkin (D) leads former Detroit Police Chief James Craig (R) by 2, moving Michigan from lean democat to tossup.
Weak Democrat field in West Virginia moves the state from likely to solid republican.
Probable Outcome: 50-53 Republican Senators.
Median Outcome: 51.5 Republican (gain of 2.5), 46.5 Democrat (loss of 1.5), 2 Independent (loss of 1)