US representative Elissa Slotkin (D) leads former Detroit Police Chief James Craig (R) by 1, moving Michigan from lean democrat to tossup.
Governor James Justice II (R) leads incumbent senator Joseph Manchin III (D) by 22, moving West Virginia from tossup to likely republican.
Probable Outcome: 50-52 Republican Senators.
Median Outcome: 51 Republican (gain of 2), 47 Democrat (loss of 1), 2 Independent (loss of 1)
Governor James Justice II (R) leads incumbent senator Joseph Manchin III (D) by 22, moving West Virginia from tossup to likely republican.
Probable Outcome: 50-52 Republican Senators.
Median Outcome: 51 Republican (gain of 2), 47 Democrat (loss of 1), 2 Independent (loss of 1)