Incumbent Governor Anthony Evers (D) leads 3 possible republican opponents by at least 4 points, moving Wisconsin from lean republican to tossup.
Incumbent Governor Gretchen Whiter (D) leads 5 possible republican primary opponents by more than 10 points, moving Michigan from tossup to lean democrat.
Attorney General Maura Healey (D) is the most likely democratic nominee and leads 2 republican primary opponents by more than 20 points, moving Massachusetts from lean to solid democrat.
Incumbent Governor Jay Robert Pritzker (D) is only polling at 50%, moving Illinois from solid to likely democrat.
Maine Incumbent Governor Janet Mills (D) leads former Governor Paul LePage (R) by 4, and New Mexico Incumbent Governor Michelle Lynn Lujan Grisham (D) leads former U.S. Senate nominee Mark Ronchetti (R) by 4, while Oregon Minority Leader Christine Drazan (R) is actually leading former Speaker Tina Kotek (D) in some polls.
Maine, New Mexico, and Oregon move from lean democrat to tossup.
Probable Outcome 27-35 Republican.
Mean Outcome 31 Republican (gain of 3), 19 Democrat (loss of 3)
Incumbent Governor Gretchen Whiter (D) leads 5 possible republican primary opponents by more than 10 points, moving Michigan from tossup to lean democrat.
Attorney General Maura Healey (D) is the most likely democratic nominee and leads 2 republican primary opponents by more than 20 points, moving Massachusetts from lean to solid democrat.
Incumbent Governor Jay Robert Pritzker (D) is only polling at 50%, moving Illinois from solid to likely democrat.
Maine Incumbent Governor Janet Mills (D) leads former Governor Paul LePage (R) by 4, and New Mexico Incumbent Governor Michelle Lynn Lujan Grisham (D) leads former U.S. Senate nominee Mark Ronchetti (R) by 4, while Oregon Minority Leader Christine Drazan (R) is actually leading former Speaker Tina Kotek (D) in some polls.
Maine, New Mexico, and Oregon move from lean democrat to tossup.
Probable Outcome 27-35 Republican.
Mean Outcome 31 Republican (gain of 3), 19 Democrat (loss of 3)